Live Scores and Model Win Probability
Live scores from today's games alongside the model's in-game win probability, so you can watch where the market and the model diverge as the game moves.
Useful for spotting when a price has drifted away from what the game state actually supports.
Today's slate
MLB
- STL @ PIT (MLB) — PNC Park · Bot 4th · model total 9.1 vs market 7.0
- MIL @ PHI (MLB) — Citizens Bank Park · Top 4th · model total 9.3 vs market 7.0
- MIA @ CHC (MLB) — Wrigley Field · 9/22 - 7:40 PM EDT · model total 9.0 vs market 6.5
- CWS @ KC (MLB) — Kauffman Stadium · 9/22 - 7:40 PM EDT · model total 9.0 vs market 8.0
- AZ @ COL (MLB) — Coors Field · 9/22 - 8:40 PM EDT · model total 8.9 vs market 11.0
- WSH @ DET (MLB) — Comerica Park · End 3rd · model total 9.2 vs market 8.0
- CIN @ ATL (MLB) — Truist Park · End 1st · model total 7.9 vs market 9.5
- TB @ NYY (MLB) — Yankee Stadium · Final · model total 9.7 vs market 6.0
- NYM @ TEX (MLB) — Globe Life Field · 9/22 - 8:05 PM EDT · model total 8.6 vs market 8.0
- CLE @ BOS (MLB) — Fenway Park · Bot 3rd · model total 9.7 vs market 6.0
- SD @ LAD (MLB) — Dodger Stadium · 9/22 - 10:10 PM EDT · model total 10.1 vs market 8.5
- TB @ NYY (MLB) — Yankee Stadium · End 2nd · model total 9.6 vs market 6.0
- MIN @ SF (MLB) — Oracle Park · 9/22 - 9:45 PM EDT · model total 9.1 vs market 7.5
- HOU @ SEA (MLB) — T-Mobile Park · 9/22 - 9:40 PM EDT · model total 8.6 vs market 7.0
- LAA @ ATH (MLB) — Sutter Health Park · 9/22 - 9:40 PM EDT · model total 8.2 vs market 9.5
- TOR @ BAL (MLB) — Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Postponed · model total 8.1 vs market 7.0
Common questions
What is in-game win probability?
The model's estimate of each team's chance of winning given the current score, time remaining and game state. Watching it against the live market is how you spot a price that has drifted from what the game actually supports.
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